 "global stocks")
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady overnight but opened the door to a cut in September.
Asian shares rallied on Thursday, tracking a huge revival in global tech stocks helped by Meta and Nvidia, while prospects of imminent policy easing in the US boosted global bonds and commodities.
The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady overnight but opened the door to a cut in September. That had traders wagering that the Bank of England might cut later in the day, with the probability of a move at 60 per cent.
The yen extended its blockbuster rally, up another 0.8 per cent to a 4-1/2-month high of 148.82 per dollar, having surged 1.8 per cent overnight. The Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the second time in 17 years on Wednesday and signalled more tightening to come.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan climbed 0.7 per cent, after ending July mostly flat. A regional MSCI IT index jumped 2.0 per cent and Taiwan’s shares surged 1.7 per cent.
Japan’s Nikkei, however, tumbled 3 per cent as the strengthening yen clouded the outlook for the country’s exporters.
Chinese blue chips turned 0.3 per cent lower after a private survey showed China’s manufacturing sector unexpectedly shrank in July, boding ill for the country’s growth momentum.
On Wall Street, tech stocks are making an extraordinary comeback after the recent sell-off. Nasdaq futures jumped 1 per cent in Asia as shares of Facebook-parent Meta Platforms surged 7 per cent after the bell on earnings beat. S&P 500 futures also added 0.5 per cent.
Apple and Amazon.com will report their earnings later on Thursday. Nvidia already rallied, adding about $330 billion in stock market value on Wednesday.
Also helping the global risk rally is dovish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that policymakers had a “real discussion” about cutting at the July meeting. The central bank also said the risks to employment were now on a par with those of rising prices.
As a result, markets, which already bet a September cut is a done deal, are wagering on a 10 per cent chance that the Fed may go for a 50 basis points easing in September.
“It seems to us that the bar is not high for the FOMC to begin easing policy at the next meeting,” said analysts at TD Securities in a note to clients.
“While we think the bar is high for the Fed to cut by 50bp in September … we cannot discard the Fed easing policy at each of the last three meetings of 2024 if inflation continues to come in better than expected.”
Treasuries rallied to the highest since the first quarter. The yield on 10-year Treasuries rose 2 basis points to 4.037 per cent, having dropped 11 bps overnight.
The dollar’s slump against a rampant yen dragged down its broader value against a range of currencies. The dollar index slipped 0.2 per cent to 103.87 on Thursday against its major peers, having fallen 0.4 per cent overnight.
In commodity markets, oil prices extended their surge overnight after the killing of a Hamas leader in Iran raised the threat of a wider Middle East conflict. [O/R]
Brent crude futures rose 0.7 per cent to $81.44 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures increased 0.9 per cent, to $78.61 per barrel.
They both jumped about 4 per cent in the previous session.
Gold gained 0.4 per cent to $2,456.59 an ounce. [GOL/]
First Published: Aug 01 2024 | 8:34 AM IST
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